The Predictions Of Hans Rosling, The Prophet Of Demography
Hans Rosling’s predictions began to be highly regarded when Gapminder, the foundation he co-founded, developed an extremely interesting computer program. Its main attribute was to transform statistical series into interactive graphs. Rosling was able to visualize important demographic trends around the world.
This Swedish doctor, professor of public health, joked that everyone wanted to look at their computer, because the growth of the economy happened there before everyone else. He was right. Hans Rosling’s demographic predictions also allow us to infer the fate of the global economy.
It is therefore not surprising that Google bought its Trendalyzer program in 2007. On this basis, the multinational communications company publishes its famous Motion Chart . It shows the main demographic and economic trends, so that everyone knows them. But what were Hans Rosling’s predictions that show what our immediate future will be? Go further.
The future of the world will be defined in the bedrooms
Although this physician and researcher was a very rigorous scholar, he also had a great sense of humor. This is why Hans Rosling’s predictions have a touch of sympathy. They tell us, for example, that the global economy is not decided on Wall Street, nor at the International Monetary Fund, but in the bedrooms.
It just means that the future of the economy depends on the number of children each couple has. He succeeded in establishing that when the quality of life increases, the birth rate decreases. This is the opposite of what happened in the past when economic growth triggered the birth rate. Each country is therefore in the hands of what happens in the bedrooms of its inhabitants.
Africa, one of Hans Rosling’s predictions
One of Hans Rosling’s most striking predictions is that concerning the African continent. According to him, Africa will experience significant economic growth between 2015 and 2050. This is why he calls it emerging China.
He assures that the fastest growing economy in the world will be the African economy. Rosling says anyone who wants to become a millionaire should invest in Africa, where educated women already make up 20% of the population in countries like Tanzania, Ethiopia and Ghana. This will encourage demographic change and growth.
Retirement age will be postponed
The world is aging and the elderly population is increasing dramatically. In some countries, adults over 65 are starting to form a very large segment. For many states, it will be too expensive to have a large and totally unproductive population group.
Rosling points out that in the near future the retirement age will be around 75 years old. Few countries could afford to have a significant group of people “playing golf” for a period of 10 years. In addition, advances in science have brought about the diseases of old age later.
The Asian Woman
Another of Hans Rosling’s most striking predictions is that relating to Asian women. According to his data, there is a paradoxical situation in several of these countries. On the one hand, women have conquered an important place in the academic and professional world. However, deeply macho customs still prevail in society.
This has led many Asian women, especially in Singapore and Taiwan, to reject marriage as a life option. They know that if they marry, they will be subject to severe limitations from their husbands, and even from their in-laws. This is why the birth rate is declining at an accelerating rate, while the presence of oriental women in the market is increasing by leaps and bounds.
Migration control is fundamental for the world
For Hans Rosling, migration is one of the most difficult phenomena in the world to accept. For this reason, it is a reality that will become more and more restricted and persecuted. This mainly applies to migrants who travel to rich countries in search of better opportunities.
Rosling says it ends up breaking up families and making illegal businesses richer. The trend is therefore to establish increasingly rigid controls on this practice. For the expert, if this system is really put in place in the near future, the migrants themselves, their families and their countries of origin will benefit from it.
All of Hans Rosling’s predictions are based on a careful study of the available data. Population forecasts have shown a high level of accuracy. So don’t be surprised if, in the years to come, Hans Rosling’s predictions come true.
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